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Goh Eng Yeow
Markets Correspondent
Tale of a HK IPO
September 23, 2009 Wednesday, 03:56 PM
Goh Eng Yeow on the lacklustre debut of the Sinopharm IPO in Hong Kong.
PERHAPS the best example of the speculative frenzy now affecting all Asian markets can be found in Hong Kong where investors simply could not get enough of the mainland firms beating a path to list there. But while the reception for China IPOs is white hot in Hong Kong, the first-day trading fervour has noticeably cooled. The Sinopharm IPO in Hong Kong is a good example. The company only needed to raise US$1.1 billion but attracted a cool US$63 billion in subscription money. Shouldn't an overwhelming response have translated into a rousing response when the shares made its trading debut? But this morning when Sinopharm finally made the grand entrance, its share price started to fall, after opening at a high of HK$19.80 – a 23 per cent premium over its issue price. Currently, it is trading at HK$18.74 – a mere 18 per cent premium over its issue price. This premium is rather small, by recent standards, when it is usual for a mainland IPO to open 30 to 40 per cent above issue price in neighbouring Shanghai. This is surprising, given the rousing reception it had received during its IPO launch when it had attracted blue-chip investors such as Hong Kong banker David Li , China Life Insurance and Bank of China Group Investments. As such, one would have expected the premium it would have commanded over its IPO issue price would have been much higher than what it has been given by the market today. Some will say that Sinopharm's valuations had been rather rich, as it was priced at about 25 times 2010 projected earnings. In contrast, a recent IPO in Singapore - Gaoxian Fibre Fabric - was only priced at four times earnings. But Sinopharm’s lacklustre debut is probably a symptom of a wider problem – the glut of liquidity sloshing around regional markets looking for a safe harbour. After sitting on their cashpile for months, some investors have decided to come in from the cold and put their money to use again. Since regional share prices have almost doubled in the past six months, they are simply putting their bets on the China IPOs which still offer some value, in their view. Besides the incredible amount of money they put up in chasing these IPOs, they also had no problems in getting margin financing. This serves to highlight another problem – banks are also flushed with cash. Since the IPO market in Hong Kong is so hot, they have also hopped onto the bandwagon, financing these high networth customers in chasing the IPO shares. The risks to the banks are also marginal, since they only have to extend loans for a period of up to two weeks only. Therein lies another dilemma. Like other Asian economies, the Hong Kong economy is slowly picking up the pieces, after the global financial crisis in the past two years. For many businesses still suffering from the stresses of coping with the aftermath of the financial crisis, the white hot Hong Kong IPO market must seem like it is located in a different planet altogether. Tags: china, hong kong, ipo, money
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Why Mr Goh as market /investment correspondent..you cannot tell it like Seah Chiang Nee?
Hor?
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Over-protected Singaporeans may be poorly equipped to handle a new world of cheats and financial sharks?
By Seah Chiang Nee. Sept 12, 2009
“We sat through a talk yesterday on land investment in Birmingham and was shocked when my friend immediately ploughed in S$25,000 to buy a 1,076 sq ft parcel,” an Internet surfer recently wrote.
“It had no planning permit and might take seven years to get one,” he added. Yet she took the plunge. Why?
“She was enticed by the gifts – a S$600 camera, S$100 in shopping and S$50 in dining vouchers and two bottles of wine,” the writer explained.
He was commenting on the government’s search for people with special qualities for posting in China.
“They’ll be hard to find since 90% of Singaporeans – and 100% of civil servants – don’t have them; they are very naive, easy to be eaten alive unknowingly,” he concluded.
I had long wondered before this case what ingredients were needed to pull off a successful scam.
When I was a news editor in Hong Kong, I put this question to a retired head of a cheating syndicate called Tin Sin Kuk, which had existed among the Chinese for ages.
The ring consisted of five or six men and women, who would select a victim – always a rich person – to take part in “swindling” another person, who was actually a gang member.
Needless to say, the rich person himself was the target.
Sitting in my Causeway Bay flat, the old man said: “For the cheating to succeed, the victim must have greed in his heart, the greater the better,” he said.
“If he’s honest and not greedy, we cannot swindle him.”
A little naivete helps, of course. High education is no safeguard, he added.
Are Singaporeans too simple-minded – or greedy – to be able to survive unscathed in this era of sophisticated scams and financial sharks?
Protected by a system of laws and a stable environment, they become vulnerable when exposed to sophisticated swindlers and Madoff-type con men.
The old magic stone tricks have made way for modern online frauds, credit card cheats and money schemes in which black and white are not always distinguishable.
The average Singaporean is honest and law-abiding, and tends to think the world spins like that,” said a retired manager.
“If a well-dressed Westerner spins an investment plan, he’ll likely lap it up.”
As children, Singaporeans are over-protected by parents; and as adults, by strict laws.
“I know of 12-year-old students who are not allowed to take a bus by themselves.”
When he was commenting on reports of Singaporean businessmen being cheated in China at the time of its opening up, university researcher Wang Shouqing had said:
“The Singapore Company is good in a very mature environment, but not good in emerging markets.”
His implication was that Singaporeans were too sheltered to be able to deal with the less scrupulous world outside. Many tend to take people’s words too much at face value.
Erik Wang, Singapore’s Consul-General in Shanghai, was quoted as saying that there was a simple lesson for Singaporeans investing in China: “Know how to cheat others more than they cheat you.
”Sharing the sentiments was controversial Taiwanese legislator Li Ao, who commented on TV several years ago that Singaporeans were stupid because they came from “poor genes”.
He ranked them lower in natural intelligence (despite their high education) than the people of Taiwan and Hong Kong.
“Taiwanese are scoundrels, but lovable, Hong Kong people are craftier, (Chinese mainlanders are unfathomable) and Singaporeans are stupider,” he said, adding that it was partially due to genetics.
One Singaporean reacted: “Some Singaporeans can be very simplistic, because we have grown up in an engineered environment.
“The average Singaporean is good at academic studies and works hard, but falls short on individual initiative and street-wise qualities, relying too much on the government for help.”
As affluent Singapore opens its doors wider to foreigners, it will likely attract the wrong type of people to come and work their schemes here.
In recent years, cheating has been on the rise. Many originate from half a world away – through the Internet.
This column has also reported on numerous cases of retirees being cheated of their savings by pretty, sweet-talking Chinese women.
A recent headline said that on average at least one Singaporean falls prey to lottery scam fraudsters every day, and this remains a concern to the police.
Con men sell dreams and fakes ranging from college degrees to job contracts. They organise online “auctions” and make off with people’s money.
The most prevalent are lottery scams, which is a worldwide scourge. In a seven-month period there were 210 Singapore victims, cheated of S$2mil.
The amount is, of course, a far cry from the US$50bil that Bernard Madoff cheated Americans of, including some of the most-savvy investors. Such is the sophistication of this criminal art.
Singapore has its own investment scandal, albeit on a much smaller scale as a whiplash of America’s financial crisis.
An activist for clean governance Tan Kin Lian explained on his blog that it began in 2006 when US investment banks were saddled with mortgages and corporate debts that were turning bad.
“They had to get rid of these assets.”
They looked for countries with weak protection of consumers which were convinced about the merits of using “the light touch” to regulate the financial sector and encourage financial innovation.
“They found Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan,” said Tan.
As a result, some 10,000 Singaporeans, many of them retirees, lost S$500mil of their savings to what they were led to believe was a “safe investment”.
So far, only a fraction of the money has been recovered.
(This article was published in The Star, Malaysia).
To warren>
IPOs are undertaken so that a company can get money.
And the best place to get money is where it is abundant - Shanghai, HongKong.
Singapore?
Chinese companies almost always list in SGX only if they fail to meet the listing criterias in Shanghai and HongKong. This gives you an indication of why Singapore-listed Chinese companies gets in the news for the wrong reasons - not because Chinese companies are dubious, we are just so eager to list those who are dubious to begin with having failed themselves to meet Shanghai and HK standards.
In comparison with China stock IPOs in HK & SH, SG market is far behind. Looking at the recent candidates - Passion, GaoXian with a low PE of 4 and yet their prices kept dripping down after the unimpressvie debut, Passion is traded at 23.5cts and GaoXian is 25 cts now. With such price performance, how could SGX attract new candidates from China???