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Christopher Tan
Senior Correspondent
No 'quick fix' on the horizon
March 23, 2009 Monday, 08:15 PM
Christopher Tan disagrees with bailing out businesses that caused the crisis.
AN OLD joke about former American president George W Bush goes like this: During a golf game, an aide had rushed over to Mr Bush and reported: "Sir, we've just had our first Brazilian casualty in our war against terror." To which, Mr Bush, looking suitably mortified, let out an "oh no!". Then, pulling the aide aside quickly, he whispered: "How many is a brazilian?" It was only a joke of course (I hope), and it's funny because of Mr Bush's seeming predisposition for gaffes. The current world economic situation on the other hand is real and is no laughing matter. But how many of us really know how many is a "trillion"? (It's a number with 12 zeroes behind it. In other words, 1,000 billion.) This is the amount the US Congress has approved to rescue its ailing financial institutions (US$700 billion). Separately, governments the world over are dishing out billions upon billions in taxpayers' money to do likewise. The question is: Why? Why are we rescuing institutions most responsible for the mess that we are in? Why do these ailing institutions take up the lion's share of bailout packages - in the case of the US, close to three quarters? Why should this be so, when they account for far fewer jobs than the manufacturing or agri sectors? Does the world need more investment bankers, derivative traders, insurance agents or gamblers in disguise? Going by the rescue plans and their chief beneficiaries, it would seem so. This is going to turn out badly. AIG's now infamous bonus saga is just the first sign that throwing good money after bad is not going to solve anything, much less teach the fumbling financial sector the follies of its ways. Taxpayers' money would have been much better spent on the real world, where real people work in real jobs making real things. Not spiffy dudes in Savoy Row suits and $100 haircuts making margin calls, packaging predatory loans to unsuspecting individuals, and devising devilish instruments that no one understands - as events have proven - not even themselves. Think of the High Notes 5 and Minibond notes that relieved many a retiree of their life savings recently. Then, think of the easy loans banks plied when the bulls were charging - given inane names like Easi Money or Eazi Cash. They were practically forcing cash on consumers. And at the first sign of trouble - round about third-quarter 2008 they ran for the hills. Now, when businesses are in actual need of financing to stay in operation, the very same financiers become all reluctant, citing judicious policies when none existed before. It is sad how this sector has been allowed to flourish, to the detriment of others. The strastospheric remuneration of the financial sector has lured a whole generation of bright and promising young men and women into the dark side. These people could have been brilliant doctors, engineers, inventors, researchers, and last but not least, teachers. Instead, they now sit behind multi-screen desks making money from nothing. And the world is no richer for that. Except for the suited minority, no one is. Yet, we are bending over backwards to ensure they still have their Mercedes-Benzes, designer studios and yes, fat year-end bonuses. The late Akio Morita, founder of Japan's Sony, once said that real successful economies are those that make things. It may appear too simplistic a view – and perhaps a tad biased – but there is undeniable wisdom in it. The US could have devoted more money to help crank up its auto industry or to irrigate its parched farming sector. Or it could have invested in areas which have perenially needed attention: the education system, inner-city housing, medical welfare. Or even alternative energy. The hundreds of billions would then have helped so many people with real needs. But like most world governments, the Obama Administration seems to have succumbed to the temptation of a quick fix, by granting so much money to so few. And unfortunately, a quick fix ain't on the horizon. Not when the very institutions which triggered the world financial meltdown are propped up and nursed back to health. Tags: crisis, money, recession
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I think enough of said of the USA financial meltdown and its dire economy. I would like to have a blog on Singapore economy and hear comments on how we can re-invent ourself and be more resilent to external shocks. No doubt Singapore needs structural economic reforms. I hope one of the editor will write on it and blog it.
Thanks
Response to Mr Noself: Traditional banking has a place in the real world. Alas traditional banking has taken a backseat for a long while now.
Cheap shot? Perhaps. But I meant every word: Does the world really need more of such practitioners?
And yes, their world has thrived at some expense to the real world. Our best minds should be channelled towards Nobel Prizes, not be wasted on such greed-driven pursuits.
Nothing wrong with restoring confidence. As long as it is not false confidence.
I earnestly hope that Mr Tan's post is a stealth parody of a polemic. Reasonable people can quibble over the level of acceptable systemic risk in a financial system. As a corollary, one can fight over the level of financial innovation acceptable and hence the amount of regulation needed.
However, the financial markets (“Wall Street”) are absolutely essential for the real markets (“Main Street) which Mr. Tan praises for making “real” things. The truth is, we (as consumers as well as the Sony(s) of the world) all require financing in order to make investments (think mortgages for housing or loans for schooling or even start-up capital), fund purchases (machinery) and hedge our risk (which is what derivatives, options, swaps and insurances are about).
Mr Tan instead chooses to take cheap shots (“Does the world need more investment bankers, derivative traders, insurance agents or gamblers in disguise?”) instead of quantifying what he views as so terribly wrong about restoring confidence (and liquidity) in the financial markets through the bailouts. Given that the market crash started when Lehman Brothers fell and the markets lurched every-time a major counter-party (AIG) wobbled, it behooves logic and/or common-sense to simply say “let them fail”.
Nonetheless, I eagerly await Mr Tan setting me wrong by explaining in greater detail where his opposition lies beyond the false dichotomy that the financial market thrives at the expense of the “real” market.
p.s. AIG is going to be wound down. And yeah, the bonus issue is a big red herring.
Anthronesia, you've put it quite eloquently. Fact is, the US govt, as well as govts in many other countries, are bailing out these institutions because they feel responsible for the mess. They were the ones who allowed the whole thing to spin out of control in the first place. But they're throwing good money after bad, methinks.
The supposed "need" to prop up these immoral institutions is based on a few very outdated assumptions. These assumptions are not a matter of fact. They are a matter of point of view. And that point of view happens to be the point of view of the very small minority of people who are grossly enriched at the expense of the the whole world. These assumptions include the following: 1) constant growth is not only possible and sustainable, but inherently good. 2) Pumping non-existent money into the financial sector that destroyed actual money is the path back to constant growth.
This is a CON, pure and simple. The vast majority of the people of the world can see through this con and are losing patience with those who wish to keep it going. This isn't about "containing" a spiral effect. This is about offloading the financial burden of the crimes of these con artists onto the backs of the very people who were conned in the first place. We are being taxed to give money to banks who will then loan that money back to us a higher interest rate. This is extortion and theft, pure and simple.
The world will be better off in the long run if all of these institutions are driven into the ground, and the chief con men all rounded up and prosecuted. The elected officials from both parties who accepted bribes from these con men should also be rounded up and prosecuted. Let the palaces burn. Then maybe we will have a small chance of building an economy based on ideas of sustainable prosperity rather than an unthinking drive for constant growth, and an economy that includes the needs of all strata of society instead of serving only the needs of the most corrupt and destructive of our stupid species.
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