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November 23, 2009 Monday

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Goh Eng Yeow
Markets Correspondent
'Tis the bargain-hunting season?
September 23, 2008 Tuesday, 06:08 PM
Goh Eng Yeow takes the cue from analysts on bottom-fishing for blue-chips.

THERE has been a steady stream of reports from analysts trying to convince their clients that it is time to fish around for battered blue-chips, following the relief rally last Friday.

Take DMG & Partners’ market call this morning, telling investors that some stocks are now trading at very low valuations, after the steep drop in share prices in recent weeks.

Its screening process tosses up four stocks – Golden Agri Resources, Li Heng Chemical Fibre, Sino Techfibre and Suntec Reit – which have “potential for significant share price upside going ahead”.

Then there is a Citigroup report outlining strategies for successful bottom-fishing, arguing that the recent rally in stock prices is likely to extend for a while, with all roads leading to value. Investors should look at names which will do well in a recovery, it adds.

But should investors start bottom-fishing, or continue to lay off stocks for a while,  in case they end up catching a falling knife?

Going by the 55-point dive in the benchmark Straits Times Index, investors seem to be signalling they are not buying into any of the “buy”  stories yet.

Merrill Lynch’s chief US investment strategist Richard Bernstein summed up the fears confronting investors with this observation: “Frankly, we are quite surprised at the markets’ strong positive reaction.” 

The US Treasury’s bailout programme does not seem to be aimed at the massive consolidation of the financial sector needed to bring the credit crunch crisis to an end, he added.



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Total comments: 2
Deming
October 10, 2008 Friday

Simmtann really hits the nail on the head, much like W Buffet's ' Be fearful when others are greedy but be greedy when others are fearful'. I hope to employ his strategy soon.

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simmtann
September 24, 2008 Wednesday

Fishing for the market's very bottom, if we find it at all, can be immensely rewarding. But it's like looking for a needle in a haystack. More often than not, we'll end up buying near the base, which is still creditable - if only we can pluck up the courage to "go solo" against the herd. Because in a falling market, sellers are out in force, frantically selling while the buyers are rapidly diminishing. Buying is the last thing on your mind when the whole market look like offloading their stocks at vast discount. It's so much easier to go along with the bullish crowd who seem poised on buying everything on sight. And most punters appear to breathe more easily buying overpriced stocks in a rising market than they do discounted ones in a sharp tumble. If you choose this reverse psychology strategy, be prepared to eweat your guts out. You'll start feeling very edgy when the soaring market is in seventh heaven 'cos you know it's reaching the end of the road pretty soon. Conversely, you spring into life when the market is dead and buried 'cos you know you can finally get to buy stocks at bargain-basement prices yet again. To start with, you'll need to locate where the major support levels - and resistance - are with the aid of the charts. Bear in mind that it's virtually impossible to ride the market's short-term waves - the day trading or hit and run short bets. You win some, you lose some but will almost always end up in a deficit. It's just not worth your time, effort, the paltry profits, if any, and the high levels of anxiety that come with it. So go for the medium or long-term trades if you don't want to meet your Waterloo. Best of luck to one and all!

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