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November 23, 2009 Monday

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Ann Williams
Executive Copytaster, Money Desk
Losing my religion
October 27, 2008 Monday, 11:31 AM
Ann Williams examines her faith amid the financial blood and gore.

MR ALAN Greenspan said last week that he has lost faith with free markets. I lost faith in Mr Greenspan a little earlier.

I got to know the chairman of the US Federal Reserve through ten years of tracking and putting together financial news reports for this paper.

I have to admit, he was my American idol.

After all, he was the most powerful central banker in the world. Markets moved when he spoke. His proclamations were taken as reassuring gospel:

- No, there's no bubble in the US housing market, it's just some "froth";

- Yes, the US financial system is sound and all those complex financial derivatives spreading around the world is just a healthy distribution of risk.

After the bubble that didn't exist burst, Mr Greenspan changed tack and said, well, actually, the Fed has no way of spotting bubbles in real time and, anyway, it's more effective to mop up afterwards than to try to deflate a bubble before it bursts.

He was horribly wrong on all counts and we're still trying to mop up the damage.

Some US$16 trillion (S$24 trillion) or about 80 per cent of the value gained by stocks worldwide in the last five years has been wiped out in less than year. The biggest of banks have gone under.

Several currencies and emerging market economies are on the brink of collapse, with the world facing the prospect of a deep recession.

Faced with these facts, Mr Greenspan finally admitted last Thursday that his belief that markets should be left free to regulate themselves was 'flawed'.

As one blogger from the US put it: For Mr Greenspan to admit to being wrong was like the Pope saying the church was based on a lie.

So now we're living through what feels like a scary movie. Here's how the Washington Post descibes it:

'Like the plot of some blockbuster horror movie, the financial crisis shifts from scene to scene with terrifying speed. It opened with a real estate crunch, which hit homeowners and mortgage lenders but left much of the economy unscathed. It continued to a broader banking crunch, in which car loans, business loans and all manner of lending unconnected to real estate suddenly became impossible to obtain.

Now, simultaneously, come three new phases of the turmoil in split-screen Technicolor. The non-financial, or “real,” economy is collapsing. Once-solid emerging markets are imploding. And trading strategies predicated on the robustness of those emerging markets are being dumped hastily, driving brutal volatility in markets around the world.'

One reviewer of the latest slasher movie to hit the cinemas, “Saw V,” has just descibed it as 'the only thing in America offering more blood and gore than the stock market". Haha.

Except I'm having trouble sleeping. It doesn't help that my job is like being a front-seat reviewer of all this financial blood and gore 12 hours a day. 

Being human, I keep waiting and hoping for someone to come save us from this mess we're in.

Mr Barack Obama - now he could be The One.

But just as we can't pin the blame for this crisis mess on just one man, I don't think one man can save us. 

And that's partly what keeps me awake some days at 3am.

The other part is thinking of my brother, who died three years ago to this day. 

I don't think I really felt his sudden death until this month. All the unrelenting bad news, all that feeling of things coming to an end..

It can force you, like Mr Greenspan, to examine your faith, to find it wanting.

And to want something different.



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Total comments: 11
pimpmaster
October 30, 2008 Thursday

When the founding fathers of America authored its Constitution, they hit a stumbling block -

How will they provide power to the government without that power being exploited?

With too much power comes corruption.

Such is the nature of any human institution be it political, social, spiritual, or financial.

And we've been blinded by Ayn Rand to think that Capitalism will be any different.

Have you ever wondered if we are putting more regulation on bubble gum than on money?

comment 890 | Offensive? Report this comment
Scott A
October 29, 2008 Wednesday

Your confusing constitutional authority with procedural power, they are not the same thing. Follow the money and you will find who is responsible. The vast majority of CEO's at the helms of these crisis financial institutions are Democrats. The head of Fannie and Freddy were Democrats. Raines, Gorlick. The politicians who took the most money from Fannie and Freddy were Democrats. The politicians that stood in the way of regulators and shot down republican attempts to hold them accountable where Democrats. Here my proof. It any Republicans were involved the Democrats would be roasting them over a spit. Where are the investigations? Were are the Republican scape goats? There are none because the Dems and their media allies know they caused this problem.

comment 875 | Offensive? Report this comment
Ari Nitram
October 29, 2008 Wednesday

The Democratic members of the US Congress have had ZERO power during the first six years of the Bush rule. Outnumbered, the Democrats could not submit a bill, bring anything up for a vote - so the idea that the Democrats caused this fiasco is simply uninformed. The Republicans enjoyed the ability to submit any bill with the knowledge that Bush will just sign it. Many bills had been filled with "gifts" for their big-business friends. Each bill was insured that any program that made money for the corporations would be accepted - regardless how dangerous it was for the "little guy". It was a shell game where only the big boys could win. Now, the right wing media is trying to blame the victims - again. But this time, most are simply not being fooled. We know the truth and the election will usher in a new era.



comment 861 | Offensive? Report this comment
S. Ashby
October 29, 2008 Wednesday

The Democrats in the US created this problem by forcing banks to lend money to people who had no hope of repaying. When the Republicans balked, the dems accused them of racism. Now they stand to take control of both houses of the Congress and the Presidency and people actually think their lives are going to be better as a result. Did I just wake up in Bazarro world? Or did the rest of the world just suddenly turn stupid? Does anyone remember "The Great Society" or "The Carter Malaise years" if not watch out BOHICA.

comment 854 | Offensive? Report this comment
Ionfox
October 28, 2008 Tuesday

Well guys, cheers up... you don't need a lot of money to be happy... If you can log on to this web, I believe you should be able to take care of your basic needs like clothing, food, shelter and transport (by waking or bus)...at least for the next few years.

Life is afterall very simple... no need complex financial engineering and economic theories to keep one happy.. .

comment 847 | Offensive? Report this comment

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